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中金:美联储降息对我们是利好还是利空?_蜘蛛资讯网

秋天的第一杯奶茶花束又火了

,美联储降息对中国市场而言是利好还是利空?  通过上文的分析,答案就比较清晰了。短期是利好,但是这个利好第一可能更短,第二也在结果上也不是最核心的主导。  1) 短期的利好更多通过流动性甚至情绪来体现,如美债利率和美元的短期下行,直接就可以影响到中美利差、港股的流动性,缓解港币汇率和Hibor收紧的压力(图表11,图表12)(《Hibor如何影响港股?》),这种情绪再被线性外推而放大,例如上周CP

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